Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.716768 0.798613 0.887480 0.991379 1.109823 1.240990 1.397720
2025-08-03 0.586047 0.697804 0.828996 0.995413 1.202359 1.453145 1.782964
2025-08-10 0.514585 0.640509 0.796323 1.005393 1.281769 1.639102 2.143444
2025-08-17 0.450745 0.580375 0.747403 0.981567 1.306482 1.749074 2.411058
2025-08-24 0.414702 0.550106 0.730933 0.994595 1.376875 1.923205 2.785890
2025-08-31 0.379252 0.515932 0.704118 0.987943 1.415511 2.052974 3.109632
2025-09-07 0.353047 0.491447 0.687395 0.992304 1.468338 2.206989 3.489617
2025-09-14 0.325225 0.461791 0.659882 0.976667 1.487089 2.307840 3.794163
2025-09-21 0.302489 0.437463 0.637697 0.966203 1.511503 2.418622 4.129235
2025-09-28 0.275688 0.404820 0.600006 0.927169 1.484061 2.437656 4.299723
2025-10-05 0.265626 0.396959 0.599821 0.948455 1.559679 2.642801 4.848018
2025-10-12 0.255570 0.388226 0.597323 0.965219 1.628517 2.843097 5.418007
2025-10-19 0.244923 0.378008 0.591961 0.977185 1.691213 3.042163 6.025493
2025-10-26 0.233705 0.366079 0.582854 0.981732 1.740740 3.222478 6.626551
2025-11-02 0.224432 0.356655 0.577121 0.991541 1.800871 3.430976 7.328237
2025-11-09 0.210398 0.338237 0.554503 0.968098 1.793063 3.497752 7.710175
2025-11-16 0.203340 0.331287 0.551404 0.980916 1.859140 3.729678 8.537989
2025-11-23 0.193887 0.319539 0.538866 0.974372 1.884341 3.874834 9.174268
2025-11-30 0.186737 0.311388 0.532221 0.978663 1.932618 4.078108 10.005300
2025-12-07 0.177390 0.298739 0.516431 0.963276 1.936512 4.178211 10.572932
2025-12-14 0.169393 0.288082 0.503672 0.952981 1.950537 4.304320 11.241907
2025-12-21 0.158366 0.271281 0.478278 0.914570 1.897159 4.257862 11.389711
2025-12-28 0.155388 0.269243 0.481032 0.935517 1.982772 4.573144 12.719494